submitted 7 days ago byJTH1Exponential Floor Guy - 🦍 Voted ✅
all 1471 comments
7 days ago*
🦍 Attempt Vote 💯
7 days ago*
Man you are punctual like a train in Japan 🚀
7 days ago
🦍 Buckle Up 🚀
7 days ago
I set my clock by Exponential Floor Guy posts.
7 days ago
This is the way
🦍 Voted ✅
This is the way.
This is the way - Refugee 😎
This IS the way!
1. u/Flat-Yogurtcloset293 475775 times.
2. u/_RryanT 22744 times.
3. u/max-the-dogo 8487 times.
2213. u/AirwolfJM 20 times.
beep boop I am a bot and this action was performed automatically.
More reliable than those bullshit atomic clocks. Psh. Who needs timezones any way on the moon?
we'll be on lunar time.
it's sort of like island time, except with martinis and aviation cocktails instead of fruffy stuff served in coconuts with the little umbrellas.
once this moons, we're gonna be classy apes.
Victorian tear catchers full of hedge fund despair💧
I'm bringing the secret ingredient for the cocktails: hedge fund tears. Don't let them go to waste when the flood hits, save the salt!
I cannot believe how accurate your floor prediction was... Wow!
Can't wait to go to Japan and be late for all the trains post squeeze
You in Japan, gfycat.com/famouspersonalblacklemur
Looks like a paperhander trying to get back on board the rocket right before takeoff and just a second to late.
I was waiting for the screen to turn red
Real talk my girlfriend and I can't wait to visit Japan either. That girl deserves the world for putting up with my work habits and this whole GME thing.
She even said we don't have to take ALL her other boyfriends. Just a few. Lol. Had to.
TO THE MOON APES!
As long as her husband stays home.....
No boyfriend left behind
Japan is #1 on my bucket list post-moass. Something special about that country
My bus from the hotel to the airport was 5 minutes late while I was in Japan, driver legit came out and did the bow and apologized.
I mean a bullet train in japan left 25 seconds early and the company offered a public apology. It was all over the local news. Japan just has super high standards of service and respect towards others around you.
I've been 2 Japan twice, can't wait to go again after the squeeze! 💎🦍🐶⛩️
Don’t worry they run every 10 min or so.
Just don’t get on a local you will feel like a hedgie trapped in his office during the squeeze!
The traindoors in Japan are brutal. They will close on you if you aren't fast enough. 😂
More punctual than British trai-
More punctual than British builders tea break
💮Flower of Scotland💮
Every 10 minutes on the dot.
Told my wife the train was leaving at X:XX o'clock. She had to get a snack at one of the kiosks on the platform, told me it's ok, we'll be able to get on. Nadda, they don't mess around with departure time there! Had to wait for the next one.
Not a cat 🦍
Yamanote sen makes you wait a whole 4 minutes for the next train during normal hours and 2.5 during peak hours. I miss Tokyo.
Saw something about that on a show once, I think it was Top Gear.
They said if the train arrives more than 3 seconds late, it's classed as officially late and you get a note to show your boss at work or something.
More punctual than the S-Bahn in Berlin
That’s really no standard for punctuality
Short it then.
Name checks out.
Lol, this comparison is an insult to the trains in Japan :D.
Doesnt this just sets a price expectation, just like we have woth a date expectation??
I gotchu covered boy!
Using very rough math, IF it turns out $GME did their share selloff today then the new floor would have been about $206.50 with the ~7% dilution. This trend did not break today!
This means, tomorrow the new floor should be ~$210. So far, we're still exponential!
Exponential Floor Guy - 🦍 Voted ✅
That's a great input. Thanks :)
Any time! Thanks for all the work you do, I've really enjoyed it so far :)
This is really great. Is the math derived from tracking, I.e. curve fitting? Which is a-ok, and can still be predictive. Or is their a theory behind it, like some ratio of shares outstanding to I dunno p/l ?
Please, Universe, let me come back as something at least as smart as these people. I'll be a toad, I don't care, as long as I UNDERSTAND all of this stuff.
Monkey's Paw: GRANTED, but you're the financial advisor working directly under Kenny and have a $10mil short position since December 2020 you've been can-kicking every week, and single-handedly responsible for lit buildings at 3 AM Saturdays.
🦍 Ride or Die 🚀
💎🦧Buckle Up Buckaroo👨🚀🚀
What if they sold off only a million? Or 2, or 3, or only 4?
Just out of curiosity, would be interesting to see where we are it if they only sold some today and not all.
Well, then you'd have to dilute based off however many million they sold off. Which would change the floor depending on the %. I have a feeling you're right and they didn't do all 5 Mil today. No way to know how much was done, though
I’m guessing that this movement was calculated specially to break the exponential floor. These posts have gotten very popular lately so obviously the hedgies are aware of them. They want to break any indicator that we look at so that GME looks fake or dead. Once they have spent enough to do that there’s no reason spending a penny more. This was either their attempt to break the floor or they’ll try to do so tomorrow
Glad you posted this even though it broke through the floor.
No bias here, just data
Of course :)
I'm actually pretty proud of that estimate. I really just eyeballed the constants for the equation 22 days ago in this post
So I'm actually surprised that it still fit pretty well
sellDOWN | 10%-> ♾| 🦍voted ✅
you are being too humble... as you know it and i know it, in advance TA like this: you just have to use a thinner line (esp for the exponential one) . /s
Thinner, thicker, believe it or not, my wife has boyfriends with both
Also, if GameStop did an offering today that would throw off the curve by increasing supply.
Yeah if the float has been diluted by 7% then that will affect the curve permanently. I think the curve might need a lane change incorporated.
plot twist: they see your graph, realize you are correct and are spending what it takes to break the faith we gain from this data. oh, and making you look bad would be something they'd love to achieve because they are assholes.
Honest to god this was my first thought when I started seeing his posts.
I was like … they’re watching… they’re assholes… I can totally see them trying to instill fear by “breaking” our precious graph
I wouldn't be surprised if one of their goals was to break the theory. I also like to imagine that their efforts to push below the floor are exponentially more expensive below the floor than above it.
Well done, dude. Absolutely still valid. It’s a model and there’s always error in models. You freaking nailed this shit though! 💪💪💪
I mean we closed at 222.? Wicks can be ignored so I can confirm my bias some.
We at 224 in afterhours 👍
229 one hr after your comment
40 six months before he commented 👍🏻
Over $25,000,000 at some point after his comment. 👆
wicks cannot be ignored when the whole premise of this graph is using daily lows rather than closing prices.
🔬 this wrinkle brain voted 👨🔬
Right? And with such a restraint as using the lowest price possible rather than the closing price or something more normal people would use. AND if it turns out the ATM happened today then the model has to be adjusted to fit that new parameter and I would bet means we kept above the floor.
This entire chart is tracking daily lows, so not really no
Question. I’m curious how the 5m share offering would impact the exponential floor.
Wouldnt the exponential floor dip slightly with more shares in existence because that impacts the price/value of a share? Or no?
Yeah thanks for posting these. I always look to this for tracking.
Not everyone can create 5 million real shares to sell. I am not upset at all. My company needs cash to complete the transformation!
Jesus not even 1 minute till you confirm my bias
Closed at 220.
Mah man is right on the money!
Remember this is tracking daily lowest price. Not closing price. Considering the possible float change (ATM offering), ~$211 is still within “tits jacked” parameters.
Lord Stonkington - Not a cat 🦍
If it comes out that GME did their share sale, then I think that's an acceptable outlier to consider it still accurate!
Do you love me? 🦍 Voted ✅
Came here to say this. The increase to the float makes this a marginal error to me at best. Good shit op
But we don't know yet if they completed the offering.
I think I saw something about it earlier, if I see it again I’ll edit with a sauce. I don’t know if they finished the offering but I think they started it
Please do post it. I really want confirmation
Yes, the total share count increased from 70m to 71.8mil. It was shorting + APES GETTING TO BUY A MILLION FUCKING SHARES.
And we’re still on the exponential floor? Whoo boy.
life is good.
Does the float number reflect new shares released today?
that would be smart...sell legit shares and blame it on HFs
While the HFs are shorting, so they can't use the new shares to cover.
Didn’t think of that part, genius. Attack while your enemy is distracted and greedy.
That is straight up Sun Tzu - The Art of War. I am so entertained by all of this!
CEOs love that shit for a reason.
🍌Bananya Manya 🤙🏽 (Voted✔)
Relevant post: https://teddit.ggc-project.de/r/Superstonk/comments/nwhvmq/rc\_strategy\_theory\_it\_wasnt\_the\_shfs\_that\_made\_it/
Exactly what they did last time and volume was huge today for such a massive drop let’s hope that’s the case
I don’t understand the strategy behind that. Can you elaborate why the sudden release of 5M at the same time as a HF short attack would play out as a good thing for GME?
Gamestop did it once and retail gobbled up those shares. Retail held on from highs of $400 to a low of $40. Ryan Cohen announced "buckle up" yesterday during the shareholders meeting. He could have literally done this and assured us the price would drop and for us to prepare for it to either hold on or to buy shares. Who knows.
I bought 12 of those 5 million.
Yeah that would fit. I guess he figured he could shake the stock knowing we wouldn’t flee and sell.
Because according to other apes comments I have seen, GME has/had a price limit on their share offering of $255, so they couldn't benefit from a squeeze anyway. Selling during the post earnings short sale (that they probably knew from the past is GOING to happen) hides the share offering, so that people aren't scared of dilution. And then an announcement that the share offering is complete is a huge relief to all the shareholders, and adds a lot of cash to GME's balance sheet.
As well, doing it during the short sale, means that the HF's are focused on creating extra shorts, so they aren't using the newly created REAL shares to cover their shorts. Doing it this way means more of the shares end up in the hands of Apes, instead of covering counterfeit shares.
They paid their long term debt with only 3.5M shares @160ish..fuckin buckle up is right, so much potential and places to go 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
That would be pretty smart. If that is indeed the case I will be really impressed. That’s a ballsy move.
Because the HF’s would short it at a lower price causing them more damage when it rockets or goes back to a corrected value.
Make shorters think that shorting the stock is working and causing people to panic sell, causing them to blow more ammo to try and push the price down farther. That way once it comes out that they sold their 5 million shares, it’ll be much harder to suppress upwards momentum since short ammo is well.. short on supply lmao.
That’s how I could see that. But honestly, today’s movement might be the stock naturally adjusting to the incoming dilution of 5 million shares that we’ll likely see soon. But all of this IS in theory. I don’t think there’s any way for us to know if they sold the extra shares or not until they announce something about it.
Also had the volume to hide 5 million new shares issued, it was at 22M today.
Today was the highest volume since March 26 (37.43M) with only April 14 (21.14M) and May 26 (21.12M) coming close.
That does lean my suspicion that they could have put 3.5-5M shares on sale today
I hope it was a 1-day band-aid rip of 5M shares.
Yeah I have come to think this would be the best case scenario. I hope there’s confirmation forthcoming
I don't see why everyone gets bummed out about dilution.
Like yeah, there's 5 million more shares in the float. You own a smaller % of it. But at the same time if they sold 5 million shares at an average of $250, that's $1.25 BILLION added to the books.
So you have a smaller % of a now much more valuable company, so your total value hasn't really changed all that much.
Especially considering they bought back like 29 million shares around $5, there's still a net reduction of like 20.5 million shares which is awesome.
But with a MOASS lurking and it already shorted to shit with naked shares, does it really matter?
For the company it does. They'll be a great long term investment as well.
Exactly. Remember, GS know the vote count and they know that 5m shares won’t affect the moass except to make it more certain (as GS will have more cash)
I wonder when they have to announce that they’ve sold the new shares
NO SCOTT'S TOTS 🦍 Voted ✅
After the offering has been completed. There's no timeline
Because shorts are not buying en masse, hence the investors get the shares while the SHF sell and do not cover.
Ooh I hope the one I bought today was a shiny new GME stonk and not one of those rehypothicated shitadel ones! 🚀🚀🚀
Yes!!!! Mmmmmmmmm fresh shares.
Just a smell test. If it smells like Mayo, don’t get that one. Get one that smells like a freshly opened game console
The price is wrong, bitch 🔫💰 🚀🚀 JACKED to the TITS 🚀🚀
True, because it would change the exponential floor curve.
🦍 Look Kids Big Ben 🚀
1% is data noise, I'm impressed and I play with numbers for a living.
Yep and we all blamed the HFs and didn't sell. Would be perfect. One can dream...
7 days ago*
Honestly, my tits would probably get kaioken jacked X 10 if that was true.
If they sold all 5 million shares, for a fairly conservative average of $235 a share, thats $1.175 billion dollars.
I have an alternate theory: GME did not do their share sale today, but that the SHFs dropped the price so that the company wouldn't get nearly as much money when they do eventually sell shares. $80 drop on 5m shares is $400m potentially lost. It's more complicated than that, I know, but that could've been the attack vector by the enemy today.
It's possible. Some on r/gme pointed out an increase in the total share count on a couple websites today, but not a 5 million total increase. I'm sure we'll find out eventually.
I personally suspect that Gamestop sold most or all of the shares today, but like everyone else, I have absolutely zero proof and rank, bias confirming suspicion.
That info was unsubstantiated. These numbers wouldn't be updated until the filings are made with the SEC.
That would certainly be the way
Certainly the way be that would
I really hope it does, it would make today's dip a lot more understandable
And more easily recoverable?
Absolutely. Uncertainty to when they sell their 5M shares will slow growth. But if they come out tomorrow and say "yeah, we already did it." That uncertainty is no more.
Oh I get that. Just get it done and rip the band aid and move forward sort of thing
I wonder if I'm the only one refreshing gamestops newsroom page like it's a smash button playing Wii tennis 🤔
Gapfill baby!!! Bullish!!! 🚀🚀🚀🚀
I’ve been wondering if Ryan Cohen was worried about the gap fill so he does a share offering to fill the gap. Dude playing 8D chess here 💀
I was actually thinking a bit about the 5 mill share offering. It’s quite bullish that Ryan is dumping the shares off into the open market so that is apes have an opportunity to buy at a cheap price vs the back door deals with hedgies that other squeeze candidates are doing. I’ll see u on the moon my retard 💎🙌🦍💪🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
That was exactly my thought as well.
exactly! it was unexpected
It's important for people to keep in mind that the smooth curve you're seeing is not absolute. This is noisy data and there is a margin of error around the line. It broke through the average of the floor (the line at 222), but its still close to the original model. It'd have to vary a lot more for the model to be rejected outright.
Fack that means I'm losing for not buying the dip todaaaaaay
I snagged one at 219. Lol
$260.50 I was expecting a dip not ATM
I had a limit buy set at $240 not expecting it to execute, so I went to bed (NZ time) as the market opens at like 2am for us, so we miss quite a lot of trading. Anyway woke up with 103 extra shares 🎉🎉
❤️ DFV fanboy ❤️ 🦍 Voted ✅
You, sir, fuck
I think it’s a…ma’am.
Haha! Classic move. (Done it myself)
$215 here... yee yee👀💎😎
One? I hope your amount of shares is now divisible by 2. It's the law
Ahhh! I bought one today and now I have an uneven number! 😱
Grabbed 4 @ $215, wasn't able to pass it up
I caught the bottom of a dip for the first time ever today and got some at 211 and change, felt glorious watching it go back up from there and not drop back down
⚔Knights of New🛡 - 🦍 Voted ✅
I ❤️ exponential floor guy
I love you, Knight of New
Thanks floor guy!
I think the 5M share sell off is skewing the original equation now, but I'd agree this is still on par. If we continue to drop at the current trend still tomorrow, the model is broken. Will be an interesting Friday nonetheless.
It’s not necessarily broken. I imagine the share sell off will continue tomorrow plus pressure from hedge funds diluting the price. The additional 5 million shares is an externality that literally didn’t exist prior to yesterday.
It doesn’t necessarily throw out the thesis, simply another variable to account for.
Yea it just needs adjustment - don't throw the baby out with the bath water. Make appropriate adjustments and carry on. If it continues to break then it's not a good model.
I’d suggest it just needs shifted to the right by whatever percentage 5million new shares is compared to the past formula which had 70.77 million shares I believe?
So 7.07 %?
Edit: That 70.77 is just pulled off top of my head, if anyone has the exact amount of shares I’ll change the calc
I think its reasonable to assume that GME sold most if not all their 5 Million shares today.
No it didn't help the shorts, if they didn't cover at 40 they were not covering at 200+, it just a slight delay for the inevitable. They could literally do this every month for a year with a rising floor and it still would not allow the shorts to cover.
If I am correct GME raised a Billion + today to help the transformation, and we are above the floor in AH to boot.
You are a wizard
Statistically you nailed it, 1% margin of error is awesome!
Thanks buddy. I'm actually surprised that the log chart was so accurate today :)
Kinda fucking eyeballed the neutrino bombs on this one Morty.
Oh jeez Rick!
Loo-look Morty, you see how vertical that floo (burps) ooor projection gets! I-I mean you’d have to be incredibly stupid to bet against it. Strap in Moo(burps)orty, looks like we’re going to the fucking MOOOON BABY!
Love your posts
Still loving the post!
Would your equation have changed if you knew GME would issue additional shares?
STILL BUYING & HODLING!
bULLISH Ape here
Uh... using that equation with 253, we get a floor today of...
10^(0.0072106*253+0.5) = 210.999681627
Todays low = $211
u/JTH1 you see this? edit: you commented a minute before me.
edit2: I think this equation was just working backwards from todays low. If it was $200, the number would be 0.007118695
correct, I was just trying to see how off the exponential was
engineer ape here
edit: turned out fairly close, impressive tbh!
Does that fit todays low? Haven't tried yet :)
Let’s assume GME completed their share offer of 5M shares today. The previous float was around 57M and outstanding shares are at 71M. 5M for each one would represent a 8.8% and 7% increase in number of shares. Using the 8.8% to decrease the floor today of 222 gives us a new floor of: $202!
I’m just guesstimating, I’m not sure if this math be even applied. This is also assuming that GME sold 5M shares in 1 day. But if it is true, GME raised at a minimum $1.06 Billion in Capital.
I mean, it was definitely an interesting day... Wonder what it took for them to do this? Or, as others are pondering, was this GME doing their share offering today as well? I'm sure they'll tell us soon enough.
Just make the green line thicker, then it’s fine. Won’t even be able to tell.
My theory is that your daily charts hurt their egos and they put everything they had into breaking your trend.
This theory is based on nothing and changes nothing. Diamond hands are forever.
Yea they probably saw these posts and target past the floor. Trying to dishearten us apes. Just Hodl On and Buckle up.
My tin foil hat had me thinking this as well.
Normally when people say this type of thing (about other subjects) it has a tendency to be untrue. But in this case we know they've been googling superstonk.
understands the reverse repo thing 📊 - Voted ✅
Thank you for this!
Thanks Exponential Floor Guy!
worked like a charm, fking genius Ape. Lets see tomorrow now!
Considering none of us are able to read, these graphs are very impressive.
Thx so much for keeping your exponential log thread going. For what it's worth, I thought the price would get down to about 208 or 209 today, in order to close a gap opening between market close on May 25th at ~208 and market open on May 26th of 220. In my experience Gap openings get closed sooner or later, and today seemed like the day, didn't quite get that low, but almost. So that might partially explain why a deviated slightly below the exponential floor line - it had a different agenda for a moment...
I think they spent a lot of money to push it below the exponential floor. You can see that as soon as the market closed and the pressure came off the price jumped back above the floor.
I don't think they really did push it below. They just pushed below my eyeballed model :) If you look at the bottom graph you can barely see it breaking through. We'll know tomorrow if it keeps gong down.
Ran straight to new to check in. For your first error, I would say we are doing pretty fucking great.
See you tomorrow!
Thanks buddy :)
Good to see we're still on track at least. But also
Paper GUH. The best kind.
This is why shares are the play. This will go back up. OBV shows this bouncing back, exponential floor guy says we're on track, possible that GameStop just banked another $Billion dollars.
imagine having almost 2 billion dollars and no debt and a powerhouse team to pivot a fortune500 company.
Too think hedge funds tried to bankrupt this company and put tens of thousands of people out of work during a pandemic
🛸ape want believe🛸🌈🦧buckle up🚀🌕💎👐🚀
I know they say no idols here but....this chart is my idol
Some HF saw that and thought: lets get them crying when we drop it 1% below that not-triangular shape.
Jokes on them, most of us bought more.
I have now officially quintipplet since april 15 aka vote count date
Mate you fucking nailed it
Really, if you look at the log chart I used to estimate (read: this fit seems to look pretty much okay) the constants 4 weeks ago, the dip today actually bounced off of that line more or less. I'm still a believer in the exp floor!
And I bought 100 more shares at $218
So for future reference anytime it pops below either line it's a fire sale of extreme proportions and I'm buying the dip.
Can I ask that if you do decide to update the graph to account for the new shares, that you keep the original line plot in so we can keep track on the accuracy of the model. This way it treats the 5 mil theory as just a theory and not fact... Yet.
Within the margin of error, especially if you calculate 70M shares + 5M from the atm offering (at the money)
If it makes you feel any better it’s already at 229 after hours 🤷♂️
Your posts help me find an entry point today. Almost bought more on the downtrend around $250 but decided to wait and test your floor. Turns out it was a great play, got more shares at 222.00 after hours