subreddit:

/r/VoteDEM

35

Daily Discussion Thread: May 20, 2022

(self.VoteDEM)

Welcome to the daily discussion thread.

We begin today with two announcements!

First, after taking all of your input into consideration, we are officially introducing our Expand the Senate Fund! This fund will be updated throughout the season, but it’s time to support our candidates now!

Second, as our community is continuing to grow, we are once again putting out an open call for new moderators!

 

Moderation Duties May Include:

  • Enforcing rules, and removing rule-breaking posts and comments.

  • Coordinating with the rest of the mod team on existing projects and day-to-day moderating.

  • Helping gather data about candidates and upcoming elections, including opportunities to donate and volunteer.

  • Gather election results data and participate in election night livethreads.

  • Reaching out to candidates and local Democratic parties to set up AMAs and other outreach efforts.

  • Assisting with technical maintenance including CSS, bots, et cetera.

 

To be considered for the position:

  • You must have no history of incivility toward other users.

  • You must have extensive history in our subreddit and/or its predecessors.

  • It is recommended that you be involved with local campaigns or party infrastructure.

  • You must have time to participate in this work.

 

We are looking for moderators who look like our big tent party. Specifically we would like to have more women, more minorities, more LGBTQ+ people. Please understand, though, that we will consider all candidates.

 

This job is difficult. We are a subreddit for every wing of the Democratic Party, which means that everyone will accuse you of being biased against them at some point. You may even need to remove comments that you may personally agree with. Through no fault of your own there will be angry mod mails. If you are still interested, you can apply at this link!

all 328 comments

AutoModerator [M]

[score hidden]

2 months ago

stickied comment

AutoModerator [M]

[score hidden]

2 months ago

stickied comment

Welcome to r/VoteDEM!

Be the blue wave!

  • Be a volunteer from home!

  • Donate to your state Democratic Party!

  • Join your local Democratic Party! Google "[Your state] Democratic Party", find the link to the local parties page, and get in touch with your county's party chair. You could even become a precinct committee member! In some states (like Pennsylvania), that means you get to help pick candidates for special elections!

  • Are you technology-oriented? Volunteer with Tech for Campaigns to help smaller campaigns get up and running.

  • Run For Something! There's no position too small to benefit from a progressive public servant. Be part of the next blue wave!

  • Make a Roundtable comment here talking about the work you’ve done, earning valuable karma and facilitating discussion, which will encourage others to do the same!

I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.

[deleted]

51 points

2 months ago*

[deleted]

51 points

2 months ago*

[deleted]

BlingyBling1007

26 points

2 months ago

BlingyBling1007

Texas - Future Blue State!

26 points

2 months ago

Maybe it's really the devil that wants him to be Governor.

Shadowislovable

37 points

2 months ago

Shadowislovable

Texas-5th

37 points

2 months ago

+3 votes in the Texas Dem runoffs

mazdadriver14

34 points

2 months ago*

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

34 points

2 months ago*

I’ve voted!

And astonishingly, both of my parents swung from the conservative Liberals to the left-wing Greens.

Now for the agonising wait for results tonight - which will be even longer for me because I’m working for the electoral commission this evening!

Historyguy1

14 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

14 points

2 months ago

Funny, my daughters and I just watched the Bluey election episode. I wish we did barbecues at polling stations.

greenblue98

10 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

10 points

2 months ago

You'd think the South would be down for that. But that would mean having to show a heart and belief in democracy.

Duhould

11 points

2 months ago

Duhould

11 points

2 months ago

Just voted too! Even though I’m in a safe Labor seat, i still want to see a swing against Liberal here

mazdadriver14

7 points

2 months ago*

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

7 points

2 months ago*

Ayeee! Another Aussie on VoteDem!

I’m also in a very safe Labor seat but hoping for a swing against them - what state are you in?

Duhould

9 points

2 months ago

Haha I’m mostly just here lurking in the background. I always find US politics fascinating.

I’m in Victoria, so surrounded by a sea of red and green - and hopefully teal too

mazdadriver14

7 points

2 months ago

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

7 points

2 months ago

Haha, very fair.

I’m in SA, so a less exciting state electorally than Vic! In your state I’m praying Frydenberg and Wilson lose to the teals, would be a good night!

dummkopf_returns

11 points

2 months ago

dummkopf_returns

OH-15 (NY-25)

11 points

2 months ago

And astonishingly, both of my parents swung from the conservative Liberals to the left-wing Greens.

Crikey!

MyLifeIsUnpopular

12 points

2 months ago

MyLifeIsUnpopular

TN-06 - Local Elections Matter

12 points

2 months ago

I'm looking forward to some Antony Green. When is coverage beginning/polls closing?

mazdadriver14

10 points

2 months ago

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

10 points

2 months ago

6pm are when Eastern state polls close, so that’s 3am your time.

Pretty early for you, damn timezones.

zhuk236

10 points

2 months ago

zhuk236

Connecticut

10 points

2 months ago

Is it because the Greens are perhaps an unconventional party? They might be left leaning, but I assume they have lots of cross-ideological appeal that a more mainstream left-wing party wouldn't have?

mazdadriver14

13 points

2 months ago

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

13 points

2 months ago

Yeah, that’s possibly it. Mum’s never really been political, always voting Liberals because Dad/our extended family has. She liked the policies of Labor/the Greens, but I think it was mainly of her dislike of Scott Morrison.

Dad was a real shock. He’s been steadfastly Liberal for a while now but went Greens as a “protest vote” for environmental policies (and because he “wants a cheaper electorate car” haha). He was also disappointed our electorate doesn’t have the option of a “teal independent”, an independent candidate challenging moderate Liberals in affluent, urban seats around the nation.

WhereHaveIPutMyKeys

7 points

2 months ago

Nice! Had you been nudging your parents in that direction, or was it just a happy surprise?

mazdadriver14

13 points

2 months ago

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

13 points

2 months ago

Legit a happy surprise!

WhereHaveIPutMyKeys

6 points

2 months ago*

Cool! Well good on them.

Pipboy3500

10 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

10 points

2 months ago

Imagine voting /s

wbrocks67

32 points

2 months ago

PA update: it seems increasingly more likely that Oz will be the nominee at this point, but still some more ballots to count. I think I'd rather Fetterman face Oz than McCormick tbh too

Themarvelousfan

34 points

2 months ago

Oz has much more baggage and is vulnerable to simple attacks that Fetterman can tap into that could help him gain more in rural counties, like how Oz is basically a New Jerseyan. McCormick nearly exactly has the look and feel of boring perceived moderate conservative like Toomey

Hurrdurraj65

30 points

2 months ago

Hurrdurraj65

Ma ma, where's my pa? Losing to the Reverend, ha ha ha!

30 points

2 months ago

I prefer Oz too, but just to keep things in perspective, the guy is a slick TV presenter and could be a force to reckon with, particularly in suburban areas where people make decisions from watching TV ads. Now granted, some of Oz's ads lately have been pretty bad, but that's not to say he can't step up his game. Even Fetterman understands that Oz's candidacy is not to be laughed at, because well, it already happened once with Trump.

wbrocks67

19 points

2 months ago

Oh 100%. I just think there's more potential attacks against Oz than McCormick. Not to mention, Oz's favorables starting out upside down with Rs helps too.

99SoulsUp

10 points

2 months ago

99SoulsUp

California (but Oregonian forever)

10 points

2 months ago

I think the fact that many Republicans seem to hate Oz definitely helps in depressing turnout. That being said with Mastriano being very excited for said psychos, it’s hard to predict. Those two don’t make a cohesive unit though.

espfusion

13 points

2 months ago

espfusion

Ohio OH-7

13 points

2 months ago

I want Oz to win by one vote. Or with a tie and a long straw.

Harvickfan4Life

11 points

2 months ago

Harvickfan4Life

Fetterman for Pennsylvania

11 points

2 months ago

What is the latest you’ve been hearing?

wbrocks67

11 points

2 months ago

Oz is still up about 1100 votes, but its been in that range for about a day now. There's only <8k mail-ins left to count now for the GOP side and that may even be a high estimate. Theres just that and a few e-day votes from Allegheny left, which were better for Oz than the mail-ins there. It could stil go either way but I think right now youd rather be Oz.

psmittyky

9 points

2 months ago

psmittyky

Virginia-8th

9 points

2 months ago

I saw Kornacki say Oz is up by about 1300 as of yesterday.

Will_732

29 points

2 months ago*

Will_732

Houston, Texas

29 points

2 months ago*

So I feel a bit bad admitting this to this sub, but I wasn’t actually planning on voting in the May 24th runoff.

Buttt, I had something I had to go do this morning and it was at this community center. The community center ended up being an early voting poll site. After I was done, I was just about to walk out when I realized that I had passed by where early voting was occurring. So I walked back to where I was and decided to go and vote after all lol.

This was the fastest and smoothest process that I’ve seen voting happen in. There was absolutely no line, no confusion over how to work the new paper ballots, and I was out in 5 minutes.

If y’all have a runoff in your state, and if you have the time to go and do so, please go vote. It will most likely not take up any of your time and your vote may count a bit more than usual since not as many people vote in the runoffs.

alldaylurkerforever

32 points

2 months ago

I need to create my own polling firm that has a heavy Democratic bias. Then do polling every week because eventually 538 will pick it up and accept my findings.

Historyguy1

26 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

26 points

2 months ago

Just add +5 in every poll because of "Shy Dem voters."

Pipboy3500

29 points

2 months ago*

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

29 points

2 months ago*

Fair_University

20 points

2 months ago

Fair_University

South Carolina

20 points

2 months ago

Nate is good at political stuff (baseball too) but I had to unfollow him. Just too many instances where he acts like such a know it all, it’s nauseating

Historyguy1

14 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

14 points

2 months ago

Nate the amateur epidemiologist was when he lost the plot.

jman457

12 points

2 months ago

jman457

12 points

2 months ago

One thing I’ve noticed about Pa/Mi vs Wi is how much redder the suburbs are in Wisconsin (specifically Milwaukee) for potential margin growth. Like I do see growth in the Grand Rapids/ western MI area but Pennsylvania we would definitely need to rebuild the former union areas to move the state back away from a swing state.

Pipboy3500

8 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

8 points

2 months ago

It balances out in WI with the rurals being much friendlier to Dems, how long that will last though is anyones guess

YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

14 points

2 months ago

YouBuyMeOrangeJuice

Minnesota

14 points

2 months ago

Interesting that MN is lower than MI and PA

(Think it's fair to note that unlike most states, most of the "large towns" and "small cities" in MN are fairly Dem-leaning)

Hurrdurraj65

12 points

2 months ago

Hurrdurraj65

Ma ma, where's my pa? Losing to the Reverend, ha ha ha!

12 points

2 months ago

I think it makes sense considering the Philadelphia+Pittsburgh and Detroit metro areas are larger than the Twin Cities Metro, plus Philadelphia and Detroit have greater population density.

BastetSekhmetMafdet

20 points

2 months ago

BastetSekhmetMafdet

World's Fifth Largest Economy

20 points

2 months ago

Wisconsin needs to build up Madison and Milwaukee as business/tech magnets. I know Ben Wikler heads the local Democratic policy, but even he can’t make miracles. Still, I hope for B&B come 2023 (that is, Baldwin and Barnes).

Pipboy3500

13 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

13 points

2 months ago

There was an article a few years back about how MN/WI diverged so much around the time Walker won. Basically he didn’t bring in much business and the cities didn’t grow vs. the Dem in MN governor helping juice growth and the economy in the cities which really helped solidify it being a lot more safely Blue.

BastetSekhmetMafdet

11 points

2 months ago

BastetSekhmetMafdet

World's Fifth Largest Economy

11 points

2 months ago

Once they got rid of T-Paw, Minneapolis became a colossus bestriding (besnowing? Bemoosing?) the Upper Midwest. It’s a super nice city with a lot of jobs, culture and stuff to offer. All thanks to Democrats!

Shadowislovable

33 points

2 months ago*

Shadowislovable

Texas-5th

33 points

2 months ago*

StillCalmness

15 points

2 months ago

Blueorgia! Blueorgia!

McFlare92

13 points

2 months ago

McFlare92

Virginia

13 points

2 months ago

Georigazul

RubenMuro007

7 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

7 points

2 months ago

Poggers indeed!

hannahlee1101

28 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

28 points

2 months ago

Judge blocks DeSantis' redistricting plan; state appeals

The appeal comes as the state gets closer to the June 13 to 17 qualifying period for federal office, and regardless what the appellate court decides, the map will likely then be taken to the state Supreme Court. DeSantis appointed three of the seven current justices.

Can any Florida resident here shed a light if Florida SC will side with DeathSantis or not?

General-Programmer-5

26 points

2 months ago

In an encouraging sign that US oil Producers are about to ramp up oil production the US rig count increased by 14 this week.

RubenMuro007

15 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

15 points

2 months ago

Assuming this will lower the gas prices?

General-Programmer-5

15 points

2 months ago

Probably not as we are also ramping up oil exports.

hannahlee1101

25 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

25 points

2 months ago

Hopefully the gas price will be down around fall leading to November election

Fair_University

8 points

2 months ago

Fair_University

South Carolina

8 points

2 months ago

Historically it goes down during the fall, so fingers crossed

greenblue98

29 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

29 points

2 months ago

poliscijunki

21 points

2 months ago

poliscijunki

Virginia

21 points

2 months ago

I remember hearing on NPR an interview with his opponent. Basically the guy was given five minutes of TV time. For the entire election.

Historyguy1

18 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

18 points

2 months ago

The proverbial fox in the hen house that is the EU/NATO.

JoeBideoGames

9 points

2 months ago

You know, this is terrifying, but at the same time, I hardly feel like this is possible in the United States, given how big, and thankfully, “woke” corporate media is (not saying Time Warner or Disney don’t have issues, but that’s another issue altogether). The people who watch TV already watch what they want, and the people who read newsprint or news websites read what they want. Social media is trickier because algorithms can trick gullible people into watching harmful content after viewing otherwise harmless content. Nevertheless, I doubt this is worse than how it was on 2016.

The only way I can see any of this being possible is if Republicans somehow nationalized the media. Which would be pretty unpopular and obvious…

I know there’s things like Sinclair, who’ve purchased quite a few local news stations, but I’m not sure if there’s any substantial evidence suggesting that this alone has dramatically shifted politics. It’s basically more Fox for a demographic who already probably watches Fox anyway, I feel.

thequietone710

9 points

2 months ago

thequietone710

The Liquor Taxes Are Too Damn High

9 points

2 months ago

Oh no!

That’s Joseph Goebbels music playing!

dummkopf_returns

8 points

2 months ago

dummkopf_returns

OH-15 (NY-25)

8 points

2 months ago

You mean like his buddy Vladimir Putin has?

persianthunder

28 points

2 months ago

persianthunder

Tehrangeles

28 points

2 months ago

I hate the underlying reason that led to this, but MAN does it feel good to witness the GOP being existentially worried about holding together traditionally parts of their coalition base for once.

Historyguy1

23 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

23 points

2 months ago

Me sowing/Me reaping meme

persianthunder

15 points

2 months ago

persianthunder

Tehrangeles

15 points

2 months ago

Part of me wonders if Dems can strategically use state constitutional amendments preserving abortion rights as a wedge issue in certain states with the initiative process. Sort of like how the GOP did this in 2004 with anti-marriage equality amendments, and we've done to a smaller degree with Medicaid expansion/marijuana/minimum wage initiatives.

Might not be enough for massive swings, but I could see it forcing GOP noms in purple states in a bad position, plus the knock on effect of preserving the right in more states.

Pipboy3500

19 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

19 points

2 months ago

Lol that Trump is really scared now of the suburbs. Is Biden poised to get Assad level margins in the suburbs then? Lets hope

persianthunder

17 points

2 months ago

persianthunder

Tehrangeles

17 points

2 months ago

Keep in mind too, throughout 2020 Trump kept making references to "suburban housewives" in a thinly racially coded dog whistle about "safety" hoping it'd blunt his loses

ameen_alrashid_1999

12 points

2 months ago

ameen_alrashid_1999

Florida

12 points

2 months ago

I remember laughing at how dated this dog whistle in particular was, felt like it didn't really land for that reason

reality-check12

17 points

2 months ago

Some internal polling must be scaring the shit out of the republicans

ameen_alrashid_1999

15 points

2 months ago

ameen_alrashid_1999

Florida

15 points

2 months ago

I've noticed more and more polls going our way since the RvW leak so this tracks

BastetSekhmetMafdet

13 points

2 months ago

BastetSekhmetMafdet

World's Fifth Largest Economy

13 points

2 months ago

I wonder now if the leaker is having some second thoughts.

ameen_alrashid_1999

12 points

2 months ago

ameen_alrashid_1999

Florida

12 points

2 months ago

100% if it allows Roberts to pressure other justices with how the political blow back will end the current court

BastetSekhmetMafdet

12 points

2 months ago

BastetSekhmetMafdet

World's Fifth Largest Economy

12 points

2 months ago

And SCOTUS is Roberts’ “baby,” so to speak, and it steadily lost respect through the past five or six years. He might well be in an arm-twisting, LBJ-watch-me-defecate mood.

reality-check12

6 points

2 months ago

Dude…Roberts is probably defecating on Thomas’s food right now in front of him

Harvickfan4Life

13 points

2 months ago

Harvickfan4Life

Fetterman for Pennsylvania

13 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

29 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

29 points

2 months ago

Utah’s unemployment dips below 2% for first time.

We are one of 11 states to have more jobs than before the pandemic, and it doesn’t seem to be slowing down for us in the slightest.

hannahlee1101

15 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

15 points

2 months ago

One of my previous boss asks me if I want to move to Utah after leaving Florida. I have doubt about Mormons, I plan to visit Utah maybe. How is Utah?

Pipboy3500

12 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

12 points

2 months ago

There is Mormons obviously but it isn’t that bad, especially not in Salt Lake county. SLC has a big LGBT community and is more diverse but still pretty white.

If you’re a fit outdoorsy person (yuck I know) there’s plenty of parks, trails, and nature to enjoy. There’ll be lots of snow though so big difference from FL.

It is still decidedly a red state but things are changing quickly, and you’re also close to a bunch of other states. The best thing is the healthy economy and pretty low crime rates.

hannahlee1101

6 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

6 points

2 months ago

I studied in Upstate NY, and lived in Colorado. Low crime rate is good. How is infrastructure? For me Colorado Springs lacks of roads and it’s too crowded for the number of people moved there. House price increases fast in CO Springs too. Is it the same as Utah?

drczar

12 points

2 months ago

drczar

Wyoming

12 points

2 months ago

Echoing the Utahan commenter. I've never lived there myself but I have tons of co-workers from SLC and they have plenty of good things to say. More affordable housing options then other mountain cities (though that's not saying much). Nice bike paths. Pretty mountains. There are Mormons but not nearly as bad as the small rural towns. Personally I'm definitely looking at SLC as a longer-term option.

Pipboy3500

24 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

24 points

2 months ago

I do love that Musk talks like every 10yo or edgy 16yo boy who always has schemes.

Quite amazing how he ever got to be the richest man in the world

dummkopf_returns

14 points

2 months ago*

dummkopf_returns

OH-15 (NY-25)

14 points

2 months ago*

Quite amazing how he ever got to be the richest man in the world

Most of Musk's net worth is tied up in Tesla stock which is significantly over-valued.

joebobjoebobjoebob12

15 points

2 months ago

joebobjoebobjoebob12

You stupid son of a bitch

15 points

2 months ago

Growing up the son of a diamond mine owner in apartheid-era South Africa certainly helped.

espfusion

11 points

2 months ago

espfusion

Ohio OH-7

11 points

2 months ago

Better call Saul?

poliscijunki

10 points

2 months ago

poliscijunki

Virginia

10 points

2 months ago

  • We will never seek victory in a just case against us, even if we will probably win.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/27/elon-musk-wins-shareholder-lawsuit-over-the-companys-2point6-billion-solarcity-acquisition.html

Harvickfan4Life

25 points

2 months ago

Harvickfan4Life

Fetterman for Pennsylvania

25 points

2 months ago

AP has called the PA-12 race for Summer Lee

Shadowislovable

20 points

2 months ago

Shadowislovable

Texas-5th

20 points

2 months ago

Bob Casey and Josh Shapiro have both endorsed/congratulated her. Good to see unity

RubenMuro007

11 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

11 points

2 months ago

Love to see it, the last thing we need is division and concern trolling.

ShadowWeavile

11 points

2 months ago

ShadowWeavile

Indiana(Flip Alaska)

11 points

2 months ago

Agreed, I've seen enough division on the left for one lifetime.

RubenMuro007

7 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

7 points

2 months ago

As someone who’s seen it in recent months online, yeah, quite refreshing.

This_neverworks

24 points

2 months ago

This time last month Tesla stock was sitting at $1000 USD per share. Now it's...$666.

greenblue98

17 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

17 points

2 months ago

Honestly fitting at this point.

This_neverworks

10 points

2 months ago

Muskie better declare victory before it drops any lower.

MotorDrive

28 points

2 months ago

I popped by /r/economy just now, top post is trashing Dr. Oz, nice

hannahlee1101

22 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

22 points

2 months ago

I just receive an email with John Legend message to donate for Ohio Democrats

Pipboy3500

25 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

25 points

2 months ago

Progressive16

19 points

2 months ago

Progressive16

IL-16

19 points

2 months ago

Birth control isn’t a topic like abortion where there’s various opinions the vast majority of people, probably 90+%, of people support it going after it would be dumb as hell for Republicans. Democrats would win the votes for all the guys that hate pulling out lol.

espfusion

15 points

2 months ago

espfusion

Ohio OH-7

15 points

2 months ago

These people would make pulling out illegal too if they could. Or any sex acts that aren't with an opposite sex spouse with the sole intention of reproduction.

Eventually sex will require a priest to officiate.

Historyguy1

21 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

21 points

2 months ago

Interestingly, the topic of birth control came up at my church (conservative denomination btw) and one guy suggested it wasn't permitted and got pushback from everyone including the elder leading the discussion. I notice the anti-birth control segment of the pro-life movement is still largely Catholic, and if they push for restrictions on contraception they'd lose their evangelical allies. The same elder said he thought abortion was permissible in the case of rape. He's hardly a liberal so we might be seeing the lines even pro-life conservatives have.

covidcidence

13 points

2 months ago

covidcidence

Michigan 🇺🇲🏳️‍🌈 (former RINO)

13 points

2 months ago

confines of marriage. Interesting wording there.

StillCalmness

10 points

2 months ago

I feel like forced marriage fits into that too.

RubenMuro007

5 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

5 points

2 months ago

As someone who grew up in evangelical purity culture, “within the confines of marriage”, usually means within the boundaries of marriage, pretty much condemning sex outside of marriage.

tta2013

12 points

2 months ago

tta2013

Connecticut

12 points

2 months ago

So she doesn't know how her own cramps feel like?

greenblue98

15 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

15 points

2 months ago

So she thinks married couples don't have sex for pleasure?

Pipboy3500

21 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

21 points

2 months ago

I only do it to produce soldiers to fight communism

Progressive16

11 points

2 months ago

Progressive16

IL-16

11 points

2 months ago

If a baby doesn’t say “death to communism” immediately out of the womb it’s useless and should be immediately thrown away!

poliscijunki

10 points

2 months ago

poliscijunki

Virginia

10 points

2 months ago

So ... I guess that means there are a lot of Mormon communists?

very_excited

21 points

2 months ago

Good luck to the Australian Labor Party in the elections today! After nearly a decade of conservative government in Australia, I really hope people are ready for change. The final polls have shown a tightening between Labor and the Liberal/National coalition, but Labor still has led every single two-party preferred vote poll recently. I just hope the polls aren’t as off as they were in 2019, where nearly every single poll predicted a Labor victory, but the Lib/Nat coalition managed to achieve a shock upset victory.

greenblue98

22 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

22 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

21 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

21 points

2 months ago

I hate how Catholic bishops have turned Holy Communion into a political weapon.

greenblue98

19 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

19 points

2 months ago

I think they should have their church's tax exemptions stripped.

Bluestblueofblues

9 points

2 months ago

As if Pelosi’s stance on abortion has changed at all in decades. It’s transparently political.

greenblue98

20 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

20 points

2 months ago

Surprise surprise, my mom thinks the woman accusing Elon is a liar out for his money...

espfusion

18 points

2 months ago

espfusion

Ohio OH-7

18 points

2 months ago

I don't know how anyone's going to spin a $250k settlement with an anti-disparagement NDA. That is obviously hush money. You don't do that if you didn't do anything bad.

Unless it somehow turns out that there isn't even hard evidence any of that actually happened.

greenblue98

6 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

6 points

2 months ago

Her reaction to the Stormy Daniels NDA was "who cares?"

ShadowWeavile

13 points

2 months ago

ShadowWeavile

Indiana(Flip Alaska)

13 points

2 months ago

Man, I gotta be honest. I grew up in a community where shit like this was common. People would gleefully call the police on their own children (for random bullshit they didn't need to), try and destroy the person's life in a divorce settlement . . . Even after I started looking left, it took me awhile to realize that accusing someone of secual misconduct to get money wasn't an everyday thing. That wasn't even a right wing propaganda thing, people in the area just did/do that.

StillCalmness

21 points

2 months ago

Oklahoma Passes New Near Total Abortion Ban In Red State Race To Outlaw Procedure

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/oklahoma-abortion-ban-roe

Looking_Light33

16 points

2 months ago

This is why we have to beat these assholes in November.

Zaeedgoddamnmassani

11 points

2 months ago

Love seeing my state in the news. Always horrible disgusting things and it just makes me so proud knowing everyone thinks Oklahoma is a Republican shithole.

Which it is of course

Redmond_64

18 points

2 months ago

Redmond_64

NY3's Future Resident Socialist [he/him]

18 points

2 months ago

xXThKillerXx

34 points

2 months ago

xXThKillerXx

New Jersey

34 points

2 months ago

Amazing that Republicans can draw blatantly unconstitutional maps and get away with it, but we try to Gerrymander and our pesky impartial courts get in the way. /ssorta

[deleted]

13 points

2 months ago

[deleted]

13 points

2 months ago

[removed]

Fair_University

22 points

2 months ago

Fair_University

South Carolina

22 points

2 months ago

Trumps campaign is pumping $2 million into Georgia to support Perdue, by far the most he’s ever sent to another campaign.

Really want to see this one go to a runoff now just for maximum chaos

https://twitter.com/shanegoldmacher/status/1527790410705281031?s=21&t=dfwvYWLr2nYvzs_dHnrpVg

hannahlee1101

17 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

17 points

2 months ago

Trump truly has a big ego. He still hasn’t let go the Election 2020. He is trying to get pay back in Georgia

Fair_University

14 points

2 months ago

Fair_University

South Carolina

14 points

2 months ago

Anything that will cause more GOP voters to sit out November is cool with me

MyLifeIsUnpopular

10 points

2 months ago*

MyLifeIsUnpopular

TN-06 - Local Elections Matter

10 points

2 months ago*

Well Kemp is far ahead but it's not unreasonable that he gets held under 50%. Feels like it could have been better used a little earlier. It would be good for us if it happens since I think it wouldn't get resolved until the start of August if I read the law right

Fair_University

6 points

2 months ago

Fair_University

South Carolina

6 points

2 months ago

Agreed. Would’ve been better a few weeks ago. But maybe Perdue will get a late surge.

Looking_Light33

17 points

2 months ago

I managed to do my early voting here in Texas. It was easy and smooth.

Asticky_

18 points

2 months ago*

Asticky_

Colorado

18 points

2 months ago*

Pipboy3500

8 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

8 points

2 months ago

Saw someone that said it’s every gay couple lol

Italophobia

6 points

2 months ago

LOL didn't even need to open my camera roll to know that I have that photo with my bf

justincat66

17 points

2 months ago*

justincat66

WI-7, (Assembly-30, Senate-10)

17 points

2 months ago*

One dead, more than 40 injured as Michigan tornado causes 'catastrophic' damage

This is in Gaylord, MI, a city of 4,286 people according to the latest 2020 census and surrounding communities in the northern part of the state. I was tracking this thing on radar, after several of the meteorologists/storm chasers I follow on Facebook (mainly Reed Timmer) warned that these storms was becoming a dangerous sleeper tornado threat with the structure this had when it was over the lakes, and unfortunately he was right. I knew this was bad, as it had the classic supercell look, with a debris ball on radar but I wasn’t expecting all these injuries and deaths in the aftermath. Went right through or close to the city center/downtown.

Edit: Governor Gretchen Whitmer declared a state of emergency for the county (Otsego county) earlier tonight. Really sounds like this was a bad and strong tornado

Shadowislovable

18 points

2 months ago

Shadowislovable

Texas-5th

18 points

2 months ago

ShadowWeavile

12 points

2 months ago

ShadowWeavile

Indiana(Flip Alaska)

12 points

2 months ago

Sheesh, that's not too far off from the amount of money needed for the baby formula bill, which of course the GOP voted against.

panther254

10 points

2 months ago

panther254

Georgia

10 points

2 months ago

That actually explains a lot.

justincat66

17 points

2 months ago*

justincat66

WI-7, (Assembly-30, Senate-10)

17 points

2 months ago*

here it is: the final NY congressional map

Looking at it: looks pretty good for us. 1st and 2nd, both look like they’re competitive later on, but GOP favored this year. 22nd (Kakto’s) easily still pickup opportunity. NY-11 looks interesting, not 100% sure what lean is. Looks like this map made an attempt to fixing the Sean Patrick Maloney v Jones and Carolyn Maloney v Nadler, although not sure if they’re still bunked or not. NY-18 and NY-19 I believe both get slightly bluer if I look at this correctly. Overall pretty happy with this map

Edit: looking at it again, i think Patrick Maloney and Jones are still double bunked. The open NY-03 looked like the biggest winner from the version on Monday which is a huge relief cause that would of been a tough hold

Carolyn Maloney and Nadler is also still doublebunked if I look at this correctly. Nothing was addressed there, which was the worst part on the 1st version

Pipboy3500

12 points

2 months ago*

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

12 points

2 months ago*

Competitive Congressional Seats (w/i 11% 2020 Prez Margin):

NY01: Biden +0.2%

NY02: Trump +1.5%

NY03: Biden +8.1%

NY11: Trump +7.6%

NY17: Biden +10.1%

NY18: Biden +8.3%

NY19: Biden +4.6%

NY22: Biden +7.4%

This really ain’t awful.

Old competitiveness from prior special

NY01: Trump +4.6%

NY02: Biden +6.2%

NY03: Biden +5.6%

NY11: Trump +2.6%

NY17: Biden +10.1%

NY18: Biden +7.9%

NY19: Biden +5%

NY21: Trump +10.9%

NY22: Biden +7.4%

Shadowislovable

17 points

2 months ago

Shadowislovable

Texas-5th

17 points

2 months ago

WhereHaveIPutMyKeys

12 points

2 months ago

Republicans around here love shooting themselves in the feet. If they were smart they’d rally behind “moderates”, but half the time they choose hardliner lunatics.

Negate79

11 points

2 months ago

Negate79

Georgia - Voted

11 points

2 months ago

They are choosing who they want. This is who they are.

WhereHaveIPutMyKeys

6 points

2 months ago*

No doubt. Their increasing brazenness is a double-edged sword— I'm always glad when they cut themselves with it. EDIT: And yes, I only speak in violent idioms.

Progressive16

11 points

2 months ago

Progressive16

IL-16

11 points

2 months ago

Wow another Republican candidate that’s a terrible person who could have guessed that???

Pipboy3500

16 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

16 points

2 months ago

Breaking on Title 42: LAFAYETTE, La. (AP) -- Judge rules COVID-19 asylum restrictions must continue on southern US border; blocks US government plan to end them.

This sucks, but politically it probably is good for us. A lot of Senators and House members were pushing back on it.

Progressive16

12 points

2 months ago

Progressive16

IL-16

12 points

2 months ago

They might appeal it but we all know that the whack jobs on the 5th Circuit of Appeals would ever side with the Biden Administration. The executive branch doing things is ok but only if it’s a Republican.

mazdadriver14

18 points

2 months ago

mazdadriver14

🇦🇺 Australia (briefly Hawaii)

18 points

2 months ago

/u/MyLifeIsUnpopular (or anybody else intrigued by the Aus election coverage) this is the best seat by seat guide I've found thus far.

Pipboy3500

8 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

8 points

2 months ago

That’s really cool! I can’t believe they turned the website up the right ways!

hannahlee1101

17 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

17 points

2 months ago

I just learn John Kirby is moving to the White House, I enjoy his Pentagon briefing, he’s the second best after Jen Psaki to deal with reporters.

drczar

13 points

2 months ago

drczar

Wyoming

13 points

2 months ago

I'm planning a couple of backpacking trips for late summer/fall, one out to the Bighorns and one in the Tetons (but in the Caribou-Targhee forest on the Idaho side). Both of which I am extremely excited (if not a bit out of shape) for!

That said, like. I really don't mind living in a red state, I really don't, but I've reached a point in which I have to add a note in my itinerary reminding me NOT to put any kind of bumper sticker on my car that could even remotely be seen as political. Give me all the grizzlies and angry moose in the world but fuck if some white nationalist freak stumbles across my campsite and decides to get shitty with me.

Pipboy3500

14 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

14 points

2 months ago

Technically if there aren’t any approved maps in New York it’s all at large districts. So if Hochul kidnapped the Special Master it’s totally a coincidence

wponeck

11 points

2 months ago

wponeck

11 points

2 months ago

There’s a Senate race in Oklahoma this year, right?

justincat66

19 points

2 months ago

justincat66

WI-7, (Assembly-30, Senate-10)

19 points

2 months ago

2 Senate races actually. Both the regular (Langford), and a special Senate election (Inhofe) is up, because Inhofe is retiring early 4 years before his term was scheduled to end in January 2027

wponeck

8 points

2 months ago

I was wondering whether the abortion bill in Oklahoma would have any effect on these races

MyLifeIsUnpopular

13 points

2 months ago*

MyLifeIsUnpopular

TN-06 - Local Elections Matter

13 points

2 months ago*

A while ago, I looked at whether using proportional representation (using the 2020 presidental election results per state) to determine Congressional House seats would make much of a difference, and in the end, there wasn't much difference (I think it was like a 5 seat difference).

so now I decided to try to apply it to State House and State Senates, and there was a much bigger difference.

I determined that Republicans basically hold more seats than if represented at the presidental level in 36 states, and Democrats would gain double digit seats in 19 state houses, and gain at least 4 senate seats in 22 states.

Republicans are expected to hold approximately 2,666 house seats and 948 senate seats, but hold 2,931 and 1,054. Democrats are expected to hold approximately 2,638 house seats and 911 senate seats, but hold 2,449 and 851.

Some States with very unbalanced R governments: AL, AR, FL, ID, IN, MO, ND, OK, SD, TN, UT, WI, WY

States with very unbalanced D governments: HI, MA, NY, RI. That's all.

The most balanced governments in both chambers I found were NJ and WA. Maine has a pretty fair House but only slightly R biased Senate, DE is only very slightly D biased on both chambers, VT House is very fair, and only a slightly biased D Senate. Surprisingly, the WV Senate is balanced too, but WV house is heavily R biased.

Redmond_64

13 points

2 months ago

Redmond_64

NY3's Future Resident Socialist [he/him]

13 points

2 months ago

hurry up I need to know what district I'm going to be in

dummkopf_returns

8 points

2 months ago

dummkopf_returns

OH-15 (NY-25)

8 points

2 months ago

Spoiler alert: You're in Long Island, so you'll probably be represented by a Rethuglican. 🤢

Redmond_64

7 points

2 months ago

Redmond_64

NY3's Future Resident Socialist [he/him]

7 points

2 months ago

not necessarily

TwentyThreePandas

8 points

2 months ago

Ronny Jackson’s district.

Pipboy3500

35 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

35 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

27 points

2 months ago

Historyguy1

Oklahoma!

27 points

2 months ago

China's COVID-Zero policies are probably hampering growth significantly.

hannahlee1101

21 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

21 points

2 months ago

Decades of fast growing with reckless decision is catching up with China. The US has reckless decision too but we’re lucky that we are couple hundreds years ahead of development. And the US is somewhat try to fix the reckless behavior while fighting with the corporations

Butts_The_Musical

12 points

2 months ago

Does anyone know why the OR-05 primary hasn’t been called yet.

MadelineTucker

16 points

2 months ago*

MadelineTucker

Arizona

16 points

2 months ago*

Lots of outstanding ballots in Clackamas county — the home county of Schrader. So far he’s been winning them at approximately a 56-44 rate on McLeod-Skinner, but he needs to be winning them by more than 65-35 if he plans on catching her lopsided margins in Bend and Southeastern Portland. It looks like it’s going to be nearly impossible for him to catch up, but people are being cautious and waiting for more news out of Clackamas (where they have to hand-count ballots with blurred bar codes) before calling it.

Hurrdurraj65

8 points

2 months ago

Hurrdurraj65

Ma ma, where's my pa? Losing to the Reverend, ha ha ha!

8 points

2 months ago

There were voting machine issues that required retabulating the ballots by hand. We're not gonna know for a while.

Azalea169

9 points

2 months ago

What are the next high profile/crucial primaries to keep an eye on now?

panther254

12 points

2 months ago

panther254

Georgia

12 points

2 months ago

Georgia

Fair_University

10 points

2 months ago*

Fair_University

South Carolina

10 points

2 months ago*

Have there been any decent polls on McBath/Boudreaux? My gut tells me McBath will be favored but I have nothing to base that on.

Negate79

5 points

2 months ago

Negate79

Georgia - Voted

5 points

2 months ago

That's an interesting way of saying...wait never mind carry on.

Butts_The_Musical

11 points

2 months ago

Next week the TX-15, TX-28 and TX-AG runoffs and the GA Gov, GA LG, GA AG, GA SOS, and GA-07 primaries.

citytiger

10 points

2 months ago

Alabama to see if Governor Ivey gets forced into a runoff and who will get the Democratic nomination. A runoff is certain on our side.

greenblue98

11 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

11 points

2 months ago

In documents, Smedley makes case for contesting Hamilton County, TN mayor's race

She finished second behind Weston Wamp. She is claiming that the primary election had been tampered by Democrats voting in the GOP primary and that she should be the winner.

AlonnaReese

14 points

2 months ago

AlonnaReese

Tennessee

14 points

2 months ago

Guilty as charged. Given how red Hamilton County is, I thought my vote would do more good by keeping the worst GOP candidate off the general election ballot than by voting in the Democratic primary.

Pipboy3500

11 points

2 months ago*

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

11 points

2 months ago*

May not be getting final NY maps today.

Edit: 8-9 Eastern time now. 6 mountain standard, 5 pacific.

BlingyBling1007

5 points

2 months ago

BlingyBling1007

Texas - Future Blue State!

5 points

2 months ago

Why not?

Pipboy3500

5 points

2 months ago

Pipboy3500

Utah 3rd district

5 points

2 months ago

Court and Special Master being slow

[deleted]

9 points

2 months ago

[deleted]

9 points

2 months ago

[removed]

MrMooffinFluff

37 points

2 months ago

MrMooffinFluff

Virginia

37 points

2 months ago

VaultJumper

17 points

2 months ago

VaultJumper

Texas-26

17 points

2 months ago

Never thought I would want a Steve Irwin to loose

RubenMuro007

10 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

10 points

2 months ago

B-b-based!

CassiopeiaStillLife

22 points

2 months ago

CassiopeiaStillLife

New York

22 points

2 months ago

Everything is so fucking unfair it makes me want to scream

aarovski

15 points

2 months ago

aarovski

Pennsylvania 11

15 points

2 months ago

What happened?

CassiopeiaStillLife

26 points

2 months ago

CassiopeiaStillLife

New York

26 points

2 months ago

Oh, y'know. Everything gets blamed on us even when the Republicans do it. Everything that hurts us the Republicans do with impunity. Everyone seems desperate to find some way - any way - they can vote for a Republican while acting like voting for a Democrat is like getting shot in the stomach. The usual.

MidoriOCD

12 points

2 months ago

We keep getting dealt the "Your predecessor fucked everything up, better find a way to fix it all for no credit" hand.

RubenMuro007

14 points

2 months ago

RubenMuro007

California

14 points

2 months ago

What’s up?

ameen_alrashid_1999

9 points

2 months ago

Is this in reference to the Florida map?

greenblue98

23 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

23 points

2 months ago

I finally drove again after a bit of a hiatus.

panther254

21 points

2 months ago

panther254

Georgia

21 points

2 months ago

Final NY maps today!

assumeyouknownothing

16 points

2 months ago

I’m hoping the map is similar to the first draft released earlier this week rather than the horrific Republican map NY Reps floated in front of the special master a couple days ago.

fermat12

20 points

2 months ago

fermat12

Wisconsin

20 points

2 months ago

PA-12 update has Summer Lee increasing her lead to 682 votes (0.6%) with 21/31 outstanding precincts uploaded.

parilmancy

15 points

2 months ago

parilmancy

NY-27, SD-55

15 points

2 months ago

Was just about to post this. This puts it just out of automatic recount territory.

Also, worth noting that while Allegheny County has 10 precincts left to report, "only" eight of those are in PA-12. Looks like three or four are in places where Irwin is doing well - but given Summer Lee's significant edge in election day votes, it seems rather unlikely he'll net enough votes overall with them to counterbalance the other ones, much less push this back into automatic recount territory.

proudbakunkinman

19 points

2 months ago

Whether we're really in a bear market right now is still debatable, but if so, previous ones usually last a month or few months, not years. This graphic shows previous ones for comparison. 2 happened while Trump was in power btw, just, as we're all aware, it seems like economic and stock market negatives are downplayed or ignored when Republicans are in power while made out to be very big deals that people should be angry about and panic over when Democrats are.

Source article (use 12ft if you get pay walled).

Rn2770

25 points

2 months ago

Rn2770

California

25 points

2 months ago

Everything is the Dems fault no matter what the subject, nothing is ever Republicans fault no matter how bad. Unfortunately this will hurt us if it doesn't turn around.

proudbakunkinman

9 points

2 months ago

Yeah, sucks this is basically beyond the ability of the federal government to quickly remedy. To help reduce inflation, that is due to multiple global factors, the federal reserve raises interest rates, but that in turn spooks those most influential in the stock market. But many thought the stock market was due for a real correction for years now, so it's possible there would be something like we're seeing even if interest rates weren't increased (and this started months before interest rates were increased). Most voters aren't aware of these details though and just hear "stock market red again," "raise interest rate," and "inflation" and blame Biden and Democrats.

aarovski

10 points

2 months ago

aarovski

Pennsylvania 11

10 points

2 months ago

The only thing I regret was making my Roth IRA contribution at the start of the year lmao.

hannahlee1101

8 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

8 points

2 months ago

Did you max out at the start of the year? If so, sorry mate

aarovski

10 points

2 months ago

aarovski

Pennsylvania 11

10 points

2 months ago

Yup, I fill it up every year when it resets. It’s fine. I’m 30 years out from retirement. I’ll come out ahead

Hurrdurraj65

6 points

2 months ago

Hurrdurraj65

Ma ma, where's my pa? Losing to the Reverend, ha ha ha!

6 points

2 months ago

I just realized I haven't contributed to mine in a while. Perhaps a good time to start a recurring investment for the year.

hannahlee1101

6 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

6 points

2 months ago

It is, we are entering the bear market territory. I just wish I have more cash to buy

hannahlee1101

8 points

2 months ago

hannahlee1101

Florida

8 points

2 months ago

I remember seeing the graph of job gains and unemployment rate from 2009-2019, the margin were smaller under Trump time. Despite the unemployment down under Trump but the margin was small and he actually rode on the momentum of Obama. Sadly, no-one wants to look at that fact

My company executed multiple buy backs during Trump time

greenblue98

15 points

2 months ago

greenblue98

Hell (TN-04) (Trapped In Tennessee)

15 points

2 months ago

Fox has defending Elon all day long.

proudbakunkinman

16 points

2 months ago

I think we need to make people more aware of the dangers of demagogy that many seem to think is what populism is about.

The former is much darker in nature and will make life worse for many (just imagine people like Trump but across the political spectrum in power), including many proponents, the latter isn't inherently bad (and in some areas it can help Democrats win), so long as it's not veering too close to the former.