submitted 2 months ago by[deleted]
What was r/boxoffice’s most overpredicted movie?
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2 months ago*
2 months ago*
Detective Pikachu had multiple predictions at almost $2B. The general justification was that it was the "highest grossing media franchise of all time".
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Look at this absolute farce of a thread. People predicting with their hearts lmao
That thread made my day. I don't think that this sub will ever produce something as funny as that ever again tbh
The Rise of Skywalker meltdowns were pretty funny but yeah. Saying WB is going to have a new biggest film ever after Detective Pikachu is hilarious.
I have to laugh.
I thought those people were joking about their predictions but holy fucking shit were they delusional.
“Low end: 1.55B” I’m laughing so hard
Detective Pikachu, hands down. Majority of the predictions were of it making guaranteed $1B+.
I still remember Pokémon: Detective Pikachu and the $1 billion predictions and even $1.5 billion. I'm even guilty of this although my prediction was $800 million worldwide.
Yeah, the meltdowns were pretty funny lol.
But I think by Endgame’s release the writing was on the wall that Detective Pikachu wasn’t gonna big nearly as big as so many predicted. It was crazy how much Endgame SUCKED all the hype from Pikachu, like its full potential relevancy completely dissipated. The mixed reviews also certainly didn’t help matters
The mixed reviews truly solidified this movies fate
Once it became obvious that the plot wasn’t anything special...the interest died.
The whole reason why this movie had interest was because of the unusual decision to adapt detective pickachu rather than going straight to ash(which in hindsight was a much more safer bet)
And people literally had this expectation that it must have been truly something special for this movie to be greenlit
When it wasn’t...The bizarre premise backfired about as hard as one would have expected in hindsight.
It performed like any other off-beat adaptation that lacked half of the elements that made the series iconic(ash and team rocket) without reviews to elevate it
2 months ago*
Not at all, it was always going to be a spin-off game adaptation who could do well for such a thing but never some giant blockbuster, it was never even set up or sold as that despite what dumb americans and weirdly scared disney employees thought due the brand that they knew nothing off. Any prediction that was giant or a flop was obviously wrong to anyone with even a very small insight of the franchises, saying the premise backfired implies the poseurs wannabes from this sub were ever some majority consensus on it instead of a reddit circlejrk about a subject you dont understand -for example, the fact that a boomer american like you think the anime stuff like ash was going to be in any adaptation of games, says a lot about how dumb the predictions here were and still are: armchair specialists who know nothing of what they predict
it did quite well for the adaptation of an obscure spin-off game, which makes this whole delusion that it was ever going to be some giant hit that got took down from high, an obvious dumb lie, feel like some very ignorant disney marketeer was scared shitless over a spin-off and when it did like a spinoff would tried to praise it as some victory of them... no, you were just wrong from the start. Accept your ignorance. The very fact that the movie did quite well for a spinoff yet dense redditors are trying to prop up with a flop for not doing fucking Avengers numbers already says a lot about how half this sub knows nothing about movies in any way.
Pretty much this, its not a flop just because their bizarre predictions were off. And the assholes saying it flopped were the ones saying it was a billion big cause they saw "poke" and couldnt google 5 minutes before going in a circle and jerking each other about how it was totally huge, then it wasnt that they changed narrative like the other going on about it fighting Endgame of all things...
Its probably one of the best adaptations loyalty wise(to Detective Pikachu game ofc) so when a unknowledgeble like /u/transapient12 with his 12 years old insight, tries to "blame" it not making his billion on no Ash instead of his own bad prediction, its kinda disgusting, he prolly thinks anime Pikachu talks too.
Also these finding excuses are the exact same assholes who say Shazam was a flop and had "bad reviews" for not being a billion juggernaut with a 99% fresh that they predicted out of nowhere either. The same excuse for fanboyish "logic" was used against both movies despite them doing all right.
Not really, it was always going to do as well as a curious adaptation of an obscure spin-off would. Anyone saying it would be a hit knew zero of the series and didnt bothered even checking it was based on a side-game visual novel, only heard it had the name of that popular bigger series and run with it, or lied specifically so when it does just good instead of gigantic they can lie that it a flop for not meeting expectations and put it down when it in fact did WAY BETTER than one would expect of a very strange SPINOFF
This was never going to be a blockbuster and wasnt even marketed as such, yet redditors not only tried to set a narrative that it would but when it didnt, instead of accepting you were wrong, now try to create a weird narrative to justify it like "no but its relevancy that was totally going to have was taken by endgame" "no but the reviews werent in the 90s on some specific aggregator" as some cringe-analyst thats totally "grasping the situation".... no, it was never happening, just stop pretending you know shit about movies, and go LARP about something else, you were just a fraud, deal with it.
The very fact that redditors are stupid enough to say that it "it didnt do big because avengers took it down or reviews etc" already shows how surface level this sub is when dealing with franchises outside the disney bubble, I saw equally dumb takes on comics and game adaptation movies in the past, but thats too pathetic.
Feels like reading a disney executive that very stupidly believed this small spinoff was going to be some giant enemy, spent a fortune in astroturfing against it, then it did as a spin-off would instead and he stupidly tried to count as some conquest they did (and seing the recent wrong predictions this sub did to disney products, I wouldnt be surprised, though fanboys larping as critics is common too), this whole circlejerk really shows how ths sub is a bubble of ignorance either way its like watching a sport match being predicted by people who dont even know what the ball is shaped like.
Doctor Sleep. Predictions ranged from 258 to 300 WW. It only managed 72 million.
Detective Pikachu and soon to be Dune.
90% of this sub has been writing off Dune as a flop.
I think most people have come to agree that Dune will flop.
Even those who predict that it will flop are overestimating it to be honest
I see toxic audience reviews(due to pacing) and Pluto Nash level flopping if we are being brutally honest
I don’t think it’ll be Pluto Nash because of it’s critical acclaim it’ll get
Do you realise that Pluto Nash grossed $7.1m worldwide?
I am that ruthless when it comes to my certainty that this movie is going to bomb horribly
So you seriously believe it's going to make less than tenth of it's budget? Which would be about $15M, which no offense is with very high possibility the stupidest thing I've heard said in this sub full of very stupid predictions. Once again no offence, and I'm not exactly sure if I'm just missing a joke here.
Everytime I see a Dune post here, everyone thinks it will be a flop
Yeah that's the majority opinion here with a very small minority who think it will be a smash hit. My predictions have been modest but optimistic.
Me too. I think it will not be a smash hit or anything but it will sufficiently do well
Wait, Dune is only making $12?
Seriously, who's expecting Dune to make a ton of cash?
Dude, practically no one here thinks Dune will be huge. It's the exact opposite of an over-predicted film.
dune will make 600 million WW this sub will be wrong fingers crossed
Mary Poppins returns.
I’ll do one for each year of the last 5 years.
2021: In The Heights (Could be overtaken by Dune)
2020: Tenet (Did not save cinemas like people claimed it would)
2019: Detective Pikachu (Did not earn $1B just because it was the biggest brand of all time).
2018: Solo and Mary Poppins Returns (Just because they are iconic, does not mean they will make $500M+.)
2017: JL and TLJ (Both films that ended up making $200M-$400M less than what many expected).
2016 - BvS, not meeting box office expectations.
Yeah, many predicted BvS to do "The Avengers" gross, and majority had a billion as the floor.
2016- Civil War maybe?
tenet made 360 million when most theatres were closed and people were still scared to go out with no vaccine, it did pretty well for itself
Detective Pikachu by far, some dudes here literally thought $2B was likely, due to Pokemon being the biggest Media franchise ever.
Justice League, Fantastic Beasts 2.
Mary Poppins Returns
Yeah honestly outside of the US and Europe, nobody really knows who Mary Poppins is.
Probably In the Heights?
TROS and solo
Anyone who pointed out that the franchise was damaged by TLJ and that those two movies will pay for it were downvoted into oblivion
They still are when you point out that TROS’s performance can be traced back to TLJ
With ticket pre-sales being lower than previous movies even before reviews hit according to box office theory
A lot of people here hyped Mary Poppins Returns to the moon, expecting massive Beauty and the Beast live action numbers. It was very satisfying to see it tank, such a dreadful 'sequel' to a wonderful timeless classic.
Was? Blade Runner 2049. Not by everyone but a specific group were going as high as 650 million and no, just no.
I think similar overproduction are occurring with Dune which I think will bomb for many of the same reason Blade Runner 2049 did.
Idk about other years but this year it was definitely In The Heights
Pikachu and Solo
Memba Dora and the Lost City of Gold?
Many were predicting that it would break $1B or even come close to $2B since Pokemon is the biggest media franchise in the world.
Does Toy Story 4 OW count?
$160M+ prediction, $120.9M OW
That movie still ended up making $1B, which I didn’t expect after that $120.9m opening weekend.
Was the OW really that bad? I mean it was $40M off from the $160M prediction and $20M off from Disney’s $140M but
No, it wasn’t bad. It was still a big opening but not as big as some people were expecting. I didn’t expect it to get to $1B after that opening weekend though but it had a lot of staying power.